The Robot RadarGet price alerts

Live estimate. Updates every second.

Robots vs humans

Right now there is one humanoid robot for every 153,101 people on Earth. That gap is closing faster every year. Here is the count, the trend, and when robots could outnumber us.

Humans

8,326,235,204

About 2 more every second

Factory robots at work (est.)

5,391,229

A new one about every 70 seconds

Humanoid robots (est.)

54,384

A new one about every 12 minutes, and speeding up

Since you opened this page

0 more people, 0 more factory robots and 0.000 more humanoids.

1,544 people for every factory robot

153,101 people for every humanoid

When could humanoids outnumber humans?

Drag the slider. Log scale: each line on the chart is ten times the one below.

Humanoids would outnumber humans in

2056

  • Humans (UN projection)
  • Factory robots (growing 9% a year, as in 2025)
  • Humanoid robots (your growth rate)
  • Morgan Stanley forecasts

50% a year is roughly what Morgan Stanley's forecast of over 1 billion humanoids by 2050 implies. Today's growth is faster still: 2025 shipments were several times 2024's. Factory robots alone would not catch up with humans until after 2100 at today's pace. A what if, not a prediction.

Factory robots at work, worldwide

Industrial robots in operation at the end of each year. Source: IFR.

01M2M3M4M5M2013: 1,332,000 robots1.3 million132014: 1,472,000 robots142015: 1,632,000 robots152016: 1,838,000 robots162017: 2,125,000 robots172018: 2,441,000 robots182019: 2,737,000 robots192020: 3,027,000 robots202021: 3,479,000 robots212022: 3,904,000 robots222023: 4,282,000 robots232024: 4,664,000 robots242025: 5,000,000 robots5 million25
Almost four times as many in 12 years. China alone passed 2 million in 2024.
See the numbers
20131,332,000
20141,472,000
20151,632,000
20161,838,000
20172,125,000
20182,441,000
20192,737,000
20203,027,000
20213,479,000
20223,904,000
20234,282,000
20244,664,000
20255,000,000

New factory robots installed each year

Source: IFR. 2025 is "more than 600,000".

0200K400K600K2013: 178,000 installed132014: 221,000 installed142015: 254,000 installed152016: 304,000 installed162017: 400,000 installed172018: 423,000 installed182019: 387,000 installed387K192020: 390,000 installed202021: 526,000 installed212022: 553,000 installed222023: 541,000 installed232024: 542,000 installed242025: 600,000 installed600K25
Up and down, but more than three times as many a year as in 2013. Trade wars dented 2019, chip shortages and a car slowdown dented 2023, and 2025 set a new record.
See the numbers
2013178,000
2014221,000
2015254,000
2016304,000
2017400,000
2018423,000
2019387,000
2020390,000
2021526,000
2022553,000
2023541,000
2024542,000
2025600,000

How many humanoids were built in 2025?

It depends who you ask.

IFR (via Reuters)7,000
China state TV (CCTV)14,400
IDC18,000
Somewhere between 7,000 and 18,000. Counts differ because some measure robots sold and others robots shipped, and Chinese makers report differently. Either way it is several times 2024. Bank of America expects about 90,000 to ship in 2026 and 1.2 million a year by 2030.

Share the count

Screenshots welcome. Or send the live page:

Post on XGet the monthly count by email

Sources and method

Live numbers start from the latest published figure and add the yearly growth rate second by second, so they are estimates between reports. Humanoid numbers are our estimate (see how we count). The crossover chart is a simple what if: humanoids in use grow by the rate you choose every year from our 2026 estimate; humans follow the UN's medium projection.